More than 60% of GM’s
volume (and a little more than 40% of its revenue) now comes from
outside the US. There, the old saying ‘What’s good for General
Motors is good for America’ has been turned on its head. America’s
woes, from sub-prime mortgages to the credit crunch and the
rapidly-rising cost of living and of fuel, have been transmitted
directly to its domestic car makers.
Demand for large pick-up
trucks and sport-utility vehicles – for years the most popular
models in the US – is down by one-third this year. GM, like Ford
and Chrysler, does not have a good selection of small economy cars to
sell instead and is looking to its subsidiaries in Europe, Japan and
Korea to provide them. Now that the Honda Civic is the best-selling
car in America, they can’t come soon enough.
The Insignia may seem a
substantial business and family saloon in Europe but in the US it
qualifies as a ‘compact’ sedan. It will be sold in America by
GM’s Saturn brand. A related model, the Chevrolet Malibu, is one of
the few bright spots in its current market performance.
The Malibu and the new
Cadillac CTS have managed to replicate Europe’s success with its
last two models, the Corsa and Astra: they are selling richer
specifications. Malibu transaction prices – what the customer
actually pays - are $4,000 higher than before and the CTS is $8,000
above its predecessor. Henderson identified this as an important area
for improvement. He said ‘We are at a real disadvantage in average
transaction prices compared with our foreign competitors. We can’t
afford any more to have brands that just create volume. They must all
be profitable.’
Announcing the new plan,
described as ‘aligning business with current market conditions’,
General Motors chairman and chief executive Rick Wagoner made one of
the great under-statements: ‘It is fair to say that the
deterioration of the US market presents new challenges’.
Wagoner has had to face a
lot of new challenges in the past five years. First it was healthcare
and pensions costs for GM’s employees and retirees. Then there were
the troubles at Delphi, the component business that GM had spun off.
And underlining all this was a steady decline in market share and
profit because it made too many of the wrong types of cars and didn’t
build them very well anyway.
One by one, these issues
have been, or are being, resolved but the result is that GM is
already a much smaller business. Last year, by including the output
of its Chinese affiliate Wuling, GM managed to stay as the world’s
number 1 car maker, ahead of Toyota. But in financial terms, GM is
now an also-ran in a race that Toyota leads by a country mile.
With the latest setback
in domestic sales added to rising commodity prices, GM’s shares
declined to a 50-year low. The latest revival plan calls for a $10
billion in cost savings on operations and another $5 billion from the
sale of assets. The cost savings are right across the board. The
bosses won’t get salary increases or bonuses, shareholders won’t
be paid a dividend. Component suppliers will be squeezed, and there
will be a further reduction in truck production.
For the first time in
many years, GM has cut back its planned research and development
budget but it maintains that there will be no ill effects for future
programmes like the Volt electric car (on the market in 2010), fuel
cell research, and its investments in ethanol production.
There has been
speculation that it will reduce the number of brands in North America
but the top management is not showing any inclination to drop Buick
or Pontiac, its weakest sellers. It knows from cutting Oldsmobile a
few years ago that closing a brand with hundreds of privately-owned
dealers is a slow and expensive business. There is the added
complication of Buick having been positioned as prestige brand in
China; to drop it in the domestic market would be to lose face.
It does admit that it
wants to sell Hummer. Officially, the brand that has the biggest and
baddest off-roaders is the subject of ‘strategic analysis’ but
Ray Young, chief financial officer, says that they have already
received several expressions of interest in taking it over. Hummer is
thought to be worth somewhat less than $2 billion.
Who the potential buyers
are is not clear. Recession, high oil prices and environmental
do-gooders make this a difficult time for the makers of SUVs and the
car companies that don’t have large 4X4s count themselves lucky.
Surely, none of those will venture where GM fears to tread?
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